Taiwan's defense minister expressed confidence in the United States' ability to deter China from invading the island, while emphasizing the importance of Taiwan strengthening its own defenses. This comes amid concerns in Taiwan regarding the U.S. commitment to intervene in the event of a Chinese attack, particularly following actions and statements from the Trump administration.
Wellington Koo highlighted that the U.S. presence in Asia, alongside its alliances, can help restrain China. He noted that making China aware of the high economic costs associated with war could influence its decision-making. Koo stated that both the U.S. and Taiwan share an interest in maintaining security in the Indo-Pacific region, particularly in the Taiwan Strait.
Since the U.S. shifted diplomatic recognition from Taiwan to Beijing in 1979, legislation has mandated the provision of defensive arms to Taiwan, although it does not require U.S. military intervention in the event of an attack. Koo, who oversees military upgrades in Taiwan, emphasized the need for a more agile military capable of countering Chinese threats, including enhanced use of drones and mobile missile systems.
Experts suggest Taiwan must accelerate its military enhancements to address China's ongoing military expansion, with Chinese leader Xi Jinping reportedly aiming for a capable military by 2027. Koo assessed the current threat level as medium to high but indicated that an imminent invasion was not yet evident.
In response to pressure from the Trump administration, Taiwan plans to increase military spending to over 3 percent of GDP, up from an initial goal of 2.45 percent. Legislative discussions on the budget will take place next session, although some opposition lawmakers are skeptical of military projects.
Despite increased funding, Taiwan faces challenges in acquiring necessary weapons and maintaining skilled personnel. Delays in weapon deliveries from the U.S. have raised concerns. Recently, Taiwan conducted its first live-fire test of the HIMARS artillery system, purchased from the U.S. in 2020.
Koo has made changes to training protocols and military exercises, emphasizing practical training as crucial for developing combat capabilities. Critics argue that military preparations are insufficiently advanced compared to China, urging a shift towards modern weaponry like drones.
Koo aims to enhance Taiwan's asymmetric warfare capabilities, with initiatives focusing on drone and anti-drone technology, artificial intelligence, and improved cybersecurity. A significant portion of the increased military budget is expected to be allocated for American weapon purchases, which aligns with U.S. interests in reducing Taiwan's trade surplus.
“Of course, we also hope that the United States can speed up delivery,” Koo remarked regarding the timely acquisition of military equipment.