Flávio Bolsonaro has won Brazil’s presidential election first round with 47.03% of the vote, surpassing incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who received 45.16%.
This result places Bolsonaro in a strong position to win the second round on 25 October, a rare opportunity for a first-round runner-up to reclaim the presidency since democracy was restored in 1985. The outcome has left progressive voters and Lula supporters stunned, as the far-right candidate’s victory signals a major shift in Brazil’s political direction.
Bolsonaro’s family and allies have also achieved notable success in congressional and gubernatorial elections, with several relatives securing seats in the legislature. The far-right movement has expanded its influence in the senate, with the Liberal party (PL) securing the largest caucus in the upper house. This development strengthens the position of pro-Bolsonaro politicians, who may use their senate majority to push for an amnesty for Jair Bolsonaro, the ex-president currently under house arrest. The election results reflect a growing influence of the far-right across Brazil, with key figures such as Tarcísio de Freitas and Sérgio Moro winning key regional races.
Why it matters
Progressive voters face a steep uphill battle in the second round as Bolsonaro’s lead is significant.
This section reflects Dumpling editorial interpretation and is provided for context only.
What to watch
Watch whether Bolsonaro’s Liberal party will use its senate majority to influence legislative priorities.
This section reflects Dumpling editorial interpretation and is provided for context only.